Universal Suffering Units (USU)
USU is a calibrated, additive unit of experienced suffering. It scales with
intensity, duration, and the number of people affected, so that burden can be aggregated
across people, places, and time.
The unit is anchored so that a familiar trajectory — renal colic
(kidney‑stone pain) — equals 1.0 USU, and can be reported with
uncertainty intervals and simple sensitivity checks.
Templates and worked CSVs are available as the Supplementary File on the preprint page.
USU in one minute
At its core, USU aggregates intensity × time with a modest convexity:
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Each experience is rated on a 0–10 intensity scale (e.g., from mild discomfort to the
worst pain imaginable).
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Intensities can be transformed with an exponent p ≥ 1 to modestly
up‑weight high‑intensity states.
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The unit is calibrated so that a reference trajectory of
renal colic (kidney‑stone pain) equals 1.0 USU.
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A simple anchor ladder links the unit to everyday experiences: roughly
needle prick (~0.001 USU), paper cut / stubbed toe (~0.01),
fingertip burn (~0.1), and renal colic (kidney‑stone pain,
1.0 USU).
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Within a person‑day, overlapping harms are combined with a simple overlap rule
(strongest state counts most, additional states count less).
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We recommend reporting medians with 90% uncertainty intervals from Monte Carlo
simulations rather than single point estimates.
How USU fits with existing metrics
USU is designed to sit alongside, not replace, established frameworks:
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DALY (Disability‑Adjusted Life Year) measures years of healthy life lost to
illness or early death.
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QALY (Quality‑Adjusted Life Year) measures years of life, weighted by their
health‑related quality.
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USU instead quantifies the experienced burden itself on a calibrated scale.
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In practice, USU is most informative when shown alongside DALY/QALY and routine
operational indicators (cases, beds, displacement, costs).
A quick example
In the USU preprint, we apply the unit to two real but stylized cases in Brazil:
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Dengue in 2024 (epidemiological weeks 1–23), where millions of non‑severe cases,
plus a small number of severe ones, generate tens of millions of USU.
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Flood‑related displacement in Rio Grande do Sul, where a smaller
population experiences longer, disruptive episodes of housing loss and disruption.
Despite being very different kinds of harm, the two examples end up in the same
order of magnitude in USU. This illustrates the core idea: USU lets us put
large numbers of moderate episodes and smaller numbers of intense,
longer episodes on a common experiential scale, while staying anchored to a familiar
reference (kidney‑stone pain = 1.0 USU).
Paper & data
The formal definition, calibration procedure, worked examples, and ethical guardrails are
described in the methods preprint:
Denis Mikhaylov. Universal Suffering Units (USU): A calibrated additive unit of
experienced suffering. Preprints.org, 2025.
DOI:
10.20944/preprints202511.1315.v1.
The same page hosts the Supplementary File (anchors, calibration summary,
minimal template, and all CSVs used in the examples), so that others can
replicate and adapt the calculations.
FAQ (USU basics)
1. What is a Universal Suffering Unit (USU)?
A Universal Suffering Unit (USU) is a calibrated measure of experienced
suffering. It scales with how intense an experience feels, how long it
lasts, and how many people are affected.
Formally, USU aggregates intensity‑over‑time curves on a 0–10 scale,
with a modest non‑linearity so that very intense states count more per
unit time than mild ones. The unit is anchored so that a typical
episode of renal colic (kidney‑stone pain) over its full trajectory is
defined as 1.0 USU.
2. How is USU anchored to real experiences?
To keep USU intuitive, we use a small ladder of everyday anchors:
- ≈ 0.001 USU – a brief needle stick for a blood draw.
- ≈ 0.01 USU – a paper cut or stubbed toe.
- ≈ 0.1 USU – a second‑degree burn on a fingertip with a few hours of throbbing.
- 1.0 USU – a typical renal colic (kidney‑stone) episode over its full course.
Other states are placed on the same ladder by panels of people familiar
with those states (including, where possible, people with lived
experience). The aim is not perfect precision, but a shared, explainable
reference scale.
3. How does USU treat very intense versus mild suffering?
USU uses an exponent p (with p ≥ 1) on the
intensity scale. When p > 1, holding time constant, very
intense experiences contribute more USU than proportionally milder ones.
Intuitively, this reflects the idea that increasing pain from 8/10 to
9/10 is “worse” than increasing from 1/10 to 2/10, even though both
changes are +1 on the numeric scale. The exponent is documented and can
be changed by other researchers in their own applications if they
prefer a different curvature.
4. How would I use USU in my own work or dataset?
The basic recipe is:
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Define the states you care about (e.g., mild dengue,
long‑term displacement, moderate depression).
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Assign intensity bands on the 0–10 scale for a
typical day in each state, using the anchor ladder (needle, cut,
burn, kidney stone) as reference.
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Specify duration patterns (how many days or months,
and whether intensity is constant or changes over time).
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Multiply by population – for each state, combine
intensity, duration, and the number of people affected.
Templates and example CSV files in the preprint supplement show how to
implement this in practice (including Monte‑Carlo uncertainty).
USU is designed so other groups can plug in their own assumptions and
recompute totals transparently.
5. How does USU relate to WSI and other metrics?
USU is the underlying unit; the World Suffering Index
(WSI) is one applied project that uses USU to describe country‑level
suffering, alongside simple death counts (and, in future, years of life
lost).
USU is intended to sit alongside, not replace, existing measures such as
DALYs, QALYs, HDI, or economic indices. DALYs and QALYs track time lived
with disability and time lost to early death; USU focuses specifically
on experienced suffering (including non‑health harms such as
displacement, fear, grief, and some forms of violence).
6. Where can I find a more detailed methods FAQ?
For a longer methods‑focused FAQ that covers both USU and the World
Suffering Index (WSI), please see:
World Suffering Index – Methods FAQ
That page goes into more depth on topics such as overlap rules, the USU
Catalogue of states, psychological suffering, and how USU is used in
country‑level reporting.
Use & citation
The USU framework and worked examples are intended to be reused. You are welcome to apply
USU to your own datasets, adapt the catalogue of states, and publish USU‑based indices or
WSI‑style analyses, provided you give appropriate credit.
Please cite the methods paper as follows:
Denis Mikhaylov. Universal Suffering Units (USU): A calibrated additive unit of
experienced suffering. Preprints.org, 2025.
DOI:
10.20944/preprints202511.1315.v1
.
The Supplementary File on the preprint page contains the anchor definitions, calibration
summary, minimal input template, and all CSVs used in the worked examples, so that others
can replicate and adapt the calculations.
The term World Suffering Index (WSI) is used for the index series published
at
worldsufferingindex.org. If you publish independent work based on USU, please describe
it as “USU‑based” or “WSI‑style” rather than as an official WSI edition.