Make lived burden visible
Counts alone do not show how intense an experience was or how long it lasted.
Universal Suffering Units
Universal Suffering Units combine how intense an experience is, how long it lasts, and how many people are affected. The framework is intended to make very different harms easier to analyze and compare while keeping the assumptions and uncertainty visible.
Potential applications include public health, humanitarian analysis, clinical and palliative-care research, and comparative projects such as the World Suffering Index.
The problem before the method
Public-health, clinical, humanitarian, and policy decisions often require comparisons between very different harms, including illness, injury, psychological distress, displacement, and disaster disruption. These harms are usually reported in different units, such as cases, pain scores, days of illness, people displaced, hospital admissions, or deaths.
Those indicators are essential, but they do not directly describe how much adverse experience occurred or allow unlike experiences to be compared on a common experiential scale.
Universal Suffering Units offer one additional lens. USU combines modeled intensity, duration, and the number of people affected, while keeping calibration, overlap treatment, assumptions, and uncertainty visible.
USU is intended to complement, not replace, DALYs, QALYs, mortality statistics, clinical judgment, rights-based analysis, or democratic decision-making. Its narrower purpose is to make experienced suffering more explicit, comparable, and open to critique.
Counts alone do not show how intense an experience was or how long it lasted.
Illness, displacement, and other defined states can be represented through the same declared intensity-time structure.
Mappings, overlap rules, and uncertainty remain inspectable, replaceable, and reproducible.
Where the framework could help
USU is a general measurement framework. Each application will require context-specific evidence, validation, and appropriate companion measures.
Compare documented burden across diseases, disasters, displacement, and other well-defined harms using a common structure.
Study cumulative symptom burden, treatment response, and patient trajectories. Clinical use would require prospective validation.
Examine whether actions reduce the intensity, duration, or population scale of suffering while retaining the original outcome measures.
Provide the common measurement framework for harmonized comparative burden series across eligible countries, territories, or events. Explore WSI.
The idea in brief
USU treats experienced suffering as an intensity-over-time profile and calibrates the resulting quantity to a specified reference trajectory.
A bounded 0-10 ladder is used as an explicit modeling scale, with uncertainty around state mappings.
Short severe episodes and longer moderate states are represented through their full duration or trajectory.
Individual or per-episode burden can be aggregated across a defined population and reporting window.
The method combines an explicit experience profile with exposure and population, applies the shared reference calibration, and propagates input uncertainty before reporting a result.
The preprint applies the same calibrated method to two deliberately different public-data examples in Brazil.
Dengue, Brazil · EW 1 - 23 of 2024
75.9 million USU
90% uncertainty interval: 46.9 - 112.9 million
Based on 7,866,769 reported cases, with separate modeled profiles for non-severe and severe dengue. Under-ascertainment is not modeled.
Flood-related internal displacement · Rio Grande do Sul
25.6 million USU
90% uncertainty interval: 13.0 - 42.8 million
Uses an end-June 2024 displacement stock of approximately 389,000 people with author-defined intensity and duration distributions.
The examples show how widespread moderate illness and a smaller population experiencing longer disruption can be expressed on one anchored experiential scale.
Scope: These are partial modeled demonstrations, not complete national burden estimates. Results depend on the included population, reporting window, intensity mapping, duration assumptions, and calibration choices.
A complementary measure
These frameworks answer related but different questions. USU is most informative when reported alongside established health and operational measures rather than used in isolation.
DALYs combine years lived with disability and years of life lost, using disability weights within a health-burden framework.
QALYs combine survival with health-related utility and are widely used in health-economic evaluation.
USU integrates an anchored intensity-time profile across people and can be applied to selected health and non-health harms. Mortality remains separate.
Understanding and applying USU
These questions explain the framework's practical purpose, calibration, scope, assumptions, and research pathway.
Potential uses include comparing burden across defined diseases or events, evaluating whether interventions reduce cumulative suffering, summarizing symptom trajectories in patient or cohort research, and supporting harmonized comparative projects such as the World Suffering Index.
USU is intended to add an experiential perspective to the original indicators, not replace them. A responsible application should state the population, reporting window, intensity and duration assumptions, overlap treatment, uncertainty, and companion measures.
A Universal Suffering Unit is a calibrated measure of experienced suffering over time. It combines modeled intensity, duration, and the number of people or episodes in scope.
The formal unit is anchored so that a specified six-hour renal-colic trajectory equals 1.0 USU. This makes the scale explicit and allows alternative assumptions to be inspected or recalibrated.
Renal colic was selected because it is intense, time-bounded, routinely assessed on clinical pain scales, and supported by published pain and treatment-response data. The formal reference is a specified stylized six-hour trajectory, not a claim that every kidney-stone episode follows one universal course.
Defining that trajectory as 1.0 USU is a calibration convention, not an ethical claim or an assertion of universal experiential equivalence. Alternative anchors can be tested and, because the calibration constant is explicit, results can be rescaled transparently.
Physical pain is an important form of suffering, but it is not the whole construct. People can experience severe negative states through breathlessness, nausea, fatigue, panic, grief, fear, humiliation, or other aversive physical and emotional experiences even when pain is not dominant.
USU therefore targets experienced suffering rather than nociception or pain alone. Pain is used for the initial calibration because pain-rating scales are widely used and renal colic provides a concrete clinical reference. The pain-based anchor does not mean every modeled state is assumed to be a form of physical pain.
A brief severe episode, a longer moderate state, and a mild state affecting millions of people are different burden patterns. USU makes those components explicit rather than allowing a case count or peak score alone to stand in for the whole experience.
Totals should still be accompanied by per-episode values, severity distributions, time windows, affected population, and module-level contributions so readers can see what drives the aggregate.
DALYs summarize health loss through years lived with disability and years of life lost. QALYs combine time with health-related utility and are commonly used in economic evaluation. USU instead models the intensity of experienced suffering over time and calibrates it to an explicit reference trajectory.
USU may also be applied to selected non-health harms, such as displacement-related disruption, when the state mapping is declared. It is intended to complement, not replace, DALYs, QALYs, mortality statistics, clinical outcomes, and operational indicators.
Potentially. At the individual or cohort level, the same intensity-over-time structure could be studied as a way to summarize cumulative symptom burden, pain trajectories, treatment response, or serious health-related suffering over a defined period.
These remain research applications. USU has not been validated as a clinical instrument and should not replace established patient-reported outcome measures, symptom assessments, clinical judgment, or palliative-care evaluation frameworks.
Psychological and physical suffering are not assumed to be identical. USU asks a narrower question: how negatively is the state experienced at a given time?
Candidate inputs could include repeated self-reports, validated symptom instruments, structured comparison with reference states, and carefully documented expert and lived-experience elicitation. Mappings should be treated as provisional, reported with uncertainty, and tested across populations.
The current worked examples do not validate general mappings for depression, anxiety, grief, trauma, or other psychological states. Developing such mappings is future research.
Simply adding separate ratings for illness, hunger, fear, and displacement could count the same experienced distress more than once. The current framework therefore uses a bounded overlap rule: the strongest concurrent state contributes fully, additional states contribute at a discounted rate, and combined intensity cannot exceed the top of the scale.
This is a transparent modeling convention rather than an established psychological law. Where overlap matters, the discount parameter and alternative interaction rules should be examined in sensitivity analyses.
USU uses the 0-10 ladder as a structured modeling scale, not as a direct physical measurement. Ratings can vary with context, culture, expectations, treatment access, and individual interpretation. Treating the ladder as approximately cardinal is an explicit assumption.
Applications should therefore use documented mappings, plausible ranges, uncertainty propagation, and sensitivity analyses. The aim is not to eliminate subjectivity but to make it visible and open to revision.
Yes. Because USU is additive, a very large number of mild or moderate experiences can produce a larger total than severe suffering concentrated in a small group. That is a feature of population aggregation, but it is also an ethical limitation of any single total.
USU should therefore not be reported alone. Applications should also show severity distributions, high-intensity exposure, affected population, module contributions, and, where relevant, distributional or rights-based constraints. A USU total does not automatically determine which policy is morally preferable.
USU does not measure a person's moral worth, dignity, rights, social value, productivity, happiness, or overall value of life. It is not a complete welfare index and should not be treated as one.
The framework covers experienced suffering during lived time. Deaths and years of life lost should be reported separately rather than converted automatically into experienced suffering units.
The intensity-over-time structure may be relevant to non-human animal welfare, and related research has proposed cumulative pain measures across animals. However, the current USU calibration and worked examples are human-centered.
A renal-colic reference, human 0-10 reporting tradition, and human clinical evidence cannot simply be transferred to other species. A non-human application would require species-specific behavioral and physiological indicators, animal-welfare expertise, explicit uncertainty, and separate empirical validation. Human and non-human USU estimates should not be combined by default.
Validation will require several kinds of evidence: reliable and comprehensible state descriptions, stable ratings or mappings, agreement with relevant patient-reported or population measures, responsiveness to meaningful change, cross-cultural testing, and comparison with established health and humanitarian indicators.
Different applications may require different validation pathways. A clinical use case, a humanitarian state mapping, and a cross-country comparative series should not be treated as though one study could validate all three.
The anchor, exponent, state mappings, duration assumptions, overlap rule, and uncertainty distributions are intended to be visible. Researchers can replace those choices, recompute results, compare alternatives, and report where conclusions change.
Supplementary Files S1-S5 provide the current calibration materials, state catalogue, worked spreadsheets, and Python reproduction script. Independent applications should cite the methods preprint and describe themselves as USU-based rather than as an official World Suffering Index release.
USU is the underlying measurement framework. The World Suffering Index is an applied research initiative developing harmonized, condition-specific and event-specific comparative burden series using common public data sources and methods.
WSI does not currently claim to measure every form of suffering within each country. Its near-term goal is to compare well-documented states consistently within clearly defined source coverage.
Methods and current materials
The formal definition, calibration procedure, worked examples, uncertainty analysis, and ethical guardrails are described in the methods preprint.
Denis Mikhaylov. Universal Suffering Units (USU): A calibrated additive unit of experienced suffering. Preprints.org, 2026. DOI: 10.20944/preprints202511.1315.v2.
A peer-reviewed citation will be added when available.
Supplementary Files S1-S5 include the calibration package, minimal state catalogue, dengue and displacement workbooks, and Python reproduction script.
The preprint and its current supplementary materials are available under CC BY 4.0. Please cite the author and preprint when reusing or adapting them.
Licensing terms for future software, services, databases, and WSI products may differ and will be stated with each release.
USU and the World Suffering Index (WSI) are developed by an independent researcher based in California. For collaboration, comments, or technical questions, please write to research@sufferingunits.org.